000
WTPZ21 KNHC 072035
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112023
2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.3W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 390SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.3W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 116.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.6N 119.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.8N 122.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.0N 124.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.4N 126.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.6N 127.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.5N 129.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  20SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 25.0N 131.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 24.2N 133.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY