000
WTPZ21 KNHC 062036
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112023
2100 UTC WED SEP 06 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 111.7W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 111.7W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 111.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.6N 113.7W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.7N 116.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.8N 118.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.0N 121.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.3N 124.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.7N 126.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 24.0N 129.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 25.4N 133.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 111.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY/BROWN