142 
WTPZ21 KNHC 052048
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112023
2100 UTC TUE SEP 05 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 108.3W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 108.3W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 13.3N 109.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.3N 111.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.1N 114.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.2N 116.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.3N 118.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.8N 121.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 110SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 21.5N 126.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 23.5N 130.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 108.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY/BLAKE