000
WTPZ21 KNHC 280838
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012023
0900 UTC WED JUN 28 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 107.6W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 107.6W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 107.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.4N 108.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.6N 110.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 15.8N 111.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.0N 112.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 16.2N 113.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.6N 114.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 17.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 17.5N 117.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 107.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY/BEVEN