031 
WTPZ21 KNHC 152033
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062022
2100 UTC FRI JUL 15 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 100.9W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 100.9W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 100.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.4N 102.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.1N 103.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.9N 105.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.6N 106.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 16.3N 108.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.0N 110.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 18.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 20.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 100.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART