000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160846
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062021
0900 UTC FRI JUL 16 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 121.0W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 121.0W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 120.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.9N 122.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.6N 123.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.5N 125.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.6N 126.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.7N 128.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.8N 130.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 14.6N 134.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 13.8N 137.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 121.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN/BEVEN