000
WTPZ21 KNHC 130858
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162020
0900 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 113.8W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  80SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 113.8W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 113.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.1N 114.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  60SE  80SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.8N 116.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.4N 118.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.9N 119.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.5N 120.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.2N 122.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 22.0N 124.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 22.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 113.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN