000
WTPZ21 KNHC 121455
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  53
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212018
1500 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA TO
CABO SAN LAZARO
* EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM MULEGE TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS IN THIS CASE THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
INTERESTS IN THE STATE OF SONORA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
SERGIO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 111.9W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  21 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 210SE 210SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 111.9W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 112.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 29.5N 109.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 111.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA