000
WTPZ21 KNHC 161443
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
1500 UTC SUN JUL 16 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 127.4W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 127.4W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 126.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.0N 129.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.8N 130.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.7N 132.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.5N 134.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.9N 136.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 17.5N 139.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 17.9N 143.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 127.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN