000
WTPZ21 KNHC 141435
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
1500 UTC FRI JUL 14 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 118.9W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 118.9W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 118.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 10.9N 120.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 11.3N 122.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 11.8N 124.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 12.5N 127.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.8N 131.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 15.0N 135.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 16.3N 138.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.9N 118.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY