000
WTPZ21 KNHC 121449
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
1500 UTC WED JUL 12 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 111.5W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 111.5W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 111.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 12.0N 112.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 12.0N 114.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 11.9N 116.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 11.7N 118.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 11.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 12.0N 128.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 13.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 111.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN