000
WTPZ21 KNHC 101430
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012017
1500 UTC WED MAY 10 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N  92.7W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE   0SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N  92.7W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N  92.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 10.8N  93.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...40NE  40SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 11.4N  94.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 11.9N  95.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 12.2N  96.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 12.7N  97.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 13.0N  97.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 13.0N  97.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.4N  92.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH