000
WTPZ21 KNHC 312036
TCMEP1

HURRICANE ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012015
2100 UTC SUN MAY 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 118.8W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 118.8W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 118.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.5N 119.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.3N 121.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.2N 122.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.2N 124.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 95NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.5N 126.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 20.0N 126.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 20.5N 126.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 118.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN