000
WTPZ21 KNHC 050244
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
0300 UTC WED NOV 05 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAZATLAN NORTHWARD TO TOPOLOBAMPO MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 TO 18 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF VANCE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE
REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 108.0W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 108.0W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 108.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.1N 107.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 25.3N 106.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 108.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART