000
WTPZ21 KNHC 022034
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
2100 UTC SUN NOV 02 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 108.6W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 108.6W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 108.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.1N 109.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.0N 110.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.7N 110.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.3N 109.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 22.5N 108.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 108.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI