000
WTPZ21 KNHC 230845
TCMEP1

HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
0900 UTC SAT AUG 23 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 134.4W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 134.4W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 134.7W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.4N 133.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.0N 132.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.6N 130.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.2N 129.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 20.6N 129.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 21.5N 131.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 22.0N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 134.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BROWN