000
WTPZ21 KNHC 201434
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
1500 UTC WED AUG 20 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 136.6W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 136.6W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.8N 136.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.5N 136.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.2N 136.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.2N 135.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.0N 132.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 20.5N 129.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 26.5N 129.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 136.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA