000
WTPZ21 KNHC 182032
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
2100 UTC MON AUG 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 133.0W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE   0SE  30SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 133.0W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 132.7W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.1N 134.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.1N 135.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.1N 136.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.2N 136.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.3N 136.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  40SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 16.3N 136.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 16.8N 136.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 133.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA