000
WTPZ21 KNHC 180846
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
0900 UTC MON AUG 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 131.5W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 131.5W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 131.1W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.7N 132.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.4N 133.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.3N 134.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.3N 135.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.5N 136.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  40SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 16.5N 136.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 17.6N 135.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 131.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI