000
WTPZ21 KNHC 170231
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
0300 UTC SUN AUG 17 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 126.1W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 126.1W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 125.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.5N 127.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.1N 129.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 16.6N 130.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.0N 132.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.0N 132.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 16.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 126.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN