000
WTPZ21 KNHC 131431
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
1500 UTC WED AUG 13 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 111.0W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 111.0W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 110.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.4N 112.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.5N 115.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.6N 117.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.8N 120.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.3N 124.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 18.5N 128.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 18.5N 131.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 111.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART