000
WTPZ21 KNHC 272034
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012014
2100 UTC TUE MAY 27 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 112.6W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 112.6W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 112.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.6N 112.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.4N 112.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.3N 111.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.0N 110.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 17.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 17.0N 112.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 112.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH