000
WTPZ21 KNHC 161433
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062012
1500 UTC MON JUL 16 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 119.9W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 119.9W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 119.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.9N 120.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.4N 120.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 23.0N 120.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 24.4N 120.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 26.0N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 119.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN