000
WTPZ21 KNHC 121450
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
1500 UTC WED OCT 12 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 110.7W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  75SE  75SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 270SE 210SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 110.7W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 111.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.8N 108.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  75SE  75SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.5N 106.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.6N 105.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.1N 103.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.0N 103.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 15.5N 105.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 15.5N 108.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 110.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN