000
WTPZ21 KNHC 081434
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012011
1500 UTC WED JUN 08 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAN TELMO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 100.8W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  15SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 100SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 100.8W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 100.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 13.5N 101.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  65SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 14.2N 102.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.9N 103.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.5N 104.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.5N 106.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 17.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 18.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 100.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN