000
WTPZ21 KNHC 170230
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162009
0300 UTC THU SEP 17 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 112.7W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 112.7W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 112.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.6N 112.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.4N 113.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.2N 113.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.1N 114.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 24.0N 117.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 24.0N 120.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 112.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH