000
WTPZ21 KNHC 161121
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162009
1130 UTC WED SEP 16 2009
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 112.6W AT 16/1130Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 112.6W AT 16/1130Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 112.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.9N 112.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.0N 113.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.0N 113.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 22.5N 114.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 24.0N 114.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 112.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA