000
WTPZ21 KNHC 120832
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
0900 UTC SUN OCT 12 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS
WESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 104.7W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  45SE  45SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 104.7W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 104.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.2N 105.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.1N 105.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.0N 106.4W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.8N 107.1W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.5N 108.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 104.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH