000 WTPZ21 KNHC 112035 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162008 2100 UTC SAT OCT 11 2008 AT 2 AM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO. AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO LA FORTUNA AND HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS WESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 102.8W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 60SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 120SE 75SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 102.8W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 102.4W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.6N 104.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 40SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 19.3N 106.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 40SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 19.5N 107.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 19.5N 109.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 19.5N 110.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 102.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA