000
WTPZ21 KNHC 110859
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
0900 UTC SAT OCT 11 2008
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
AT 2 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING EAST OF PUNTA MALDONADO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA MALDONADO WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO
MANZANILLO.
  
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 100.6W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  40SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 120SE  75SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 100.6W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 100.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 17.5N 102.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 17.9N 103.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.0N 104.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.0N 105.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.8N 107.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 17.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 100.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN