000
WTPZ21 KNHC 110232
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
0300 UTC SAT OCT 11 2008
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM
LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF PUNTA
SAN TELMO TO MANZANILLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  99.4W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  40SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  99.4W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  98.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.6N 100.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.3N 102.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.5N 103.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.5N 104.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.5N 106.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 17.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 17.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  99.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN