000
WTPZ21 KNHC 100832
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
0900 UTC FRI OCT 10 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PUNTA MALDONADO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO.  A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  96.7W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  25SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  96.7W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  96.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.8N  97.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.6N  99.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 16.4N 101.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 17.3N 103.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.6N 105.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 19.7N 107.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 20.5N 109.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N  96.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART