000
WTPZ21 KNHC 092031
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
2100 UTC THU OCT 09 2008
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  95.3W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  45SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  95.3W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  94.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.9N  96.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.5N  98.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.4N 100.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 16.3N 102.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.0N 105.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 19.5N 106.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 21.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N  95.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH