000
WTPZ21 KNHC 090828
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
0900 UTC THU OCT 09 2008
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  93.0W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  93.0W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  92.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 13.2N  94.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.7N  95.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.2N  97.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.0N  98.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.5N 102.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 17.5N 104.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 18.5N 106.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N  93.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA