000
WTPZ21 KNHC 090232
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
0300 UTC THU OCT 09 2008
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  91.8W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  91.8W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  91.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 12.7N  93.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 13.3N  94.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 13.9N  95.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 14.4N  97.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.5N 100.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  65SE  65SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 16.5N 102.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 17.5N 104.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N  91.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN