000
WTPZ21 KNHC 241450
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112008
1500 UTC SUN AUG 24 2008
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST
TO MULEGE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA
ABREOJOS ON THE WEST COAST AROUND THE PENINSULA AND NORTHWARD TO
MULEGE ON THE EAST COAST.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH
OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO EL POCITO...AND ALONG THE EAST COAST NORTH OF
MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 110.0W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  60SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 110.0W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 109.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.7N 110.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.3N 111.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.7N 112.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 27.8N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 29.1N 113.6W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 110.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH