000
WTPZ21 KNHC 240831
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112008
0900 UTC SUN AUG 24 2008
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA TO BAHIA MAGDALENA...AND NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST
TO LORETO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM BAHIA
MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST AROUND THE PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO
LORETO ON THE EAST COAST.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH
OF BAHIA MAGDALENA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND ALONG THE EAST COAST
NORTH OF LORETO TO MULEGE.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 109.6W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  60SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 109.6W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 109.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 22.7N 110.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.1N 111.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 25.5N 112.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.7N 112.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 28.5N 113.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 30.5N 114.5W...OVER WATER REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 109.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN