000
WTPZ21 KNHC 232028
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112008
2100 UTC SAT AUG 23 2008
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA
FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AROUND THE PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO
BUENAVISTA ON THE EAST COAST.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 108.5W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 108.5W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 108.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.5N 109.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 21.7N 110.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 23.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.5N 112.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 27.0N 113.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 15NE  35SE  35SW  15NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 29.0N 113.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 108.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA