000
WTPZ21 KNHC 171437
TCMEP1
HURRICANE ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062008
1500 UTC THU JUL 17 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 122.2W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 122.2W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 121.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.2N 124.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.2N 127.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.2N 129.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.0N 132.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.5N 137.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 16.0N 142.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 16.0N 148.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 122.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB