000
WTPZ21 KNHC 170836
TCMEP1
HURRICANE ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062008
0900 UTC THU JUL 17 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 120.7W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 120.7W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 120.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.8N 122.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.0N 125.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.0N 128.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.0N 130.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.0N 135.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 18.0N 140.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 18.0N 145.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 120.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA