000
WTPZ21 KNHC 152042
TCMEP1
HURRICANE ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062008
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
2100 UTC TUE JUL 15 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 113.3W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 65NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 113.3W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 112.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.8N 115.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 65NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.3N 117.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.7N 120.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 55NE  55SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.9N 123.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.1N 128.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  20NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 18.0N 132.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 17.5N 135.9W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 113.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BANN