000
WTPZ21 KNHC 150248
TCMEP1
HURRICANE ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062008
0300 UTC TUE JUL 15 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 110.6W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 110.6W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 110.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.2N 112.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.6N 114.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.0N 116.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.3N 118.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 17.5N 127.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 17.5N 130.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 110.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN