000
WTPZ21 KNHC 141455
TCMEP1
HURRICANE ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062008
1500 UTC MON JUL 14 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 109.1W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 109.1W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 108.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.2N 110.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.5N 112.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.9N 115.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.2N 117.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 17.0N 125.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 16.5N 129.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 109.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/FRANKLIN