000
WTPZ21 KNHC 140847
TCMEP1
HURRICANE ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062008
0900 UTC MON JUL 14 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 108.2W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 108.2W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 107.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.6N 109.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 111.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.3N 114.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.5N 116.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 17.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 17.5N 127.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 108.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME