000
WTPZ21 KNHC 140245
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062008
0300 UTC MON JUL 14 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.8W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.8W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 106.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.9N 108.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.4N 110.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.8N 112.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 17.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 17.0N 125.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 106.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN