000
WTPZ21 KNHC 132033
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062008
2100 UTC SUN JUL 13 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 105.3W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  35SE  35SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  50SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 105.3W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 104.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.1N 107.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  35SE  35SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.6N 109.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  35SE  35SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  35SE  35SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  25SE  25SW   0NW.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 17.0N 121.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 17.0N 125.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 105.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE