000
WTPZ21 KNHC 130232
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062008
0300 UTC SUN JUL 13 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 101.5W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  30SE  50SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  50SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 101.5W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 100.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.3N 103.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.2N 105.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.8N 107.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.2N 109.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 17.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 17.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 101.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB