000
WTPZ21 KNHC 031442
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007
1500 UTC MON SEP 03 2007
 
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ
SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE
WEST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS WITH A HURRICANE WARNING. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO
LORETO ON THE EAST COAST AND FROM NORTH OF SANTA FE TO PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO ON THE WEST COAST.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 108.5W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 270SE 180SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 108.5W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 108.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.6N 109.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.8N 110.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 23.2N 111.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.9N 111.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.0N 112.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 33.0N 110.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 108.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME