000
WTPZ21 KNHC 011443
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007
1500 UTC SAT SEP 01 2007
 
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST
OF MEXICO EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND THE
HURRICANE WATCH FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES HAS ALSO BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 104.3W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  75SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 104.3W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 103.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.5N 105.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.2N 107.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.5N 109.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N 114.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 26.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 104.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA