000
WTPZ21 KNHC 170841
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007
0900 UTC TUE JUL 17 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 132.7W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  20SE  35SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  90SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 80NE  60SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 132.7W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 132.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.4N 134.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE  35SW  20NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  90SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.7N 136.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.2N 138.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.8N 141.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.0N 147.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 19.0N 153.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 19.5N 158.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 132.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN